МЕТАЛЛУРГИЯ 2016: РЕАЛИИ И НАДЕЖДЫ.

Title: МЕТАЛЛУРГИЯ 2016: РЕАЛИИ И НАДЕЖДЫ.
Alternate Title: METALLURGY 2016: REALITIES AND HOPES.
Language: Russian
Authors: АДНО, Ю. Л.1 adno@eurasmet.ru
Source: Chernye Metally / Ferrous Metals. sep2016, Issue 9, p71-78. 8p.
Формат: Article
Author-Supplied Keywords: China
crisis
demand
economy
forecast
gross domestic product
import replacement
iron and steel works
Oil
prices
Russia
trade
ВВП
Китай
импортозамещение
инвестиции
кризис
нефть
прогноз
спрос
торговля
цены
экономика
Language of Keywords: English; Russian
Abstract (English): It is suggested that the global economy will probably save the moderate positive dynamics of post-crisis restoration growth. This conclusion is based on the figures for 2013-2015 presented by the World Economic Outlook. But Russian economy is still characterized by serious problems caused by pressure of sanctions and essential lowering of global oil prices. It restricts significantly possibilities of economical growth and requires accepting of special anti-crisis measures. The most short-term forecasts relating to the Russian metallurgy are pessimistic. The main directions of return to the post-crisis growth are connected evidently with keeping profitability at the satisfied level and strict control of expenses in the conditions of active state support. Metal export is still rather active driver, but it can't compensate completely other negative factors, i.e. substantial lowering of global prices for metal products. However, these negative factors are partly neutralized by large-scale modernization policy that has been conducts timely by Russian metal producers earlier. The paper also analyses the factors of the new economical policy in China. It is also displayed that the global metallurgy is still in recession, meaning first of all steel consumption. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Abstract (Russian): Мировое хозяйство в 2016 г. скорее всего сумеет сохранить умеренн ую позитивную динамику посткризисного восстановительного роста. На этом фоне российская экономика попрежнему переживает серьезные проблемы, вызванные давлением санкций и падением мировых цен на нефть, что основательно ограничило возможности экономического роста и требует принятия особых антикризисных мер. Большинство краткосрочных прогнозов в отношении российской металлургии пессимистичны. Главные направления восстановления посткризисного роста, очевидно, связаны с поддержанием рентабельности на приемлемом уровне и жестком контроле издержек в условиях активной государственной поддержки. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Author Affiliations: 1зав. сектором ИМЭМО РАН им. Е. М Примакова, Москва, Россия
ISSN: 0132-0890
Идентификатор: 118450561
Адрес (URL) для доступа: http://resolver.ebscohost.com/openurl?sid=EBSCO:iih&genre=article&issn=01320890&ISBN=&volume=&issue=9&date=20160901&spage=71&pages=71-78&title=Chernye Metally / Ferrous Metals&atitle=%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%A2%D0%90%D0%9B%D0%9B%D0%A3%D0%A0%D0%93%D0%98%D0%AF%202016%3A%20%D0%A0%D0%95%D0%90%D0%9B%D0%98%D0%98%20%D0%98%20%D0%9D%D0%90%D0%94%D0%95%D0%96%D0%94%D0%AB.&aulast=%D0%90%D0%94%D0%9D%D0%9E%2C%20%D0%AE.%20%D0%9B.&id=DOI:

Database: Computers & Applied Sciences Complete
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